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There hasn't been a blog post in a little while because all my recent articles have been snapped up by the media and can be seen on our Media page.
Things are certainly a little slow
right now in the business sales market. Have talked to a couple of brokers
I know and they concur that things look like they could be a little
quiet all the way to Christmas. One of them said he thought that it
was the country’s total dedication to the World Cup, and in his mind
has delayed the normal spring time interest for business owners to look
at exiting their businesses.
This concept I believe has merit because
it does seem to captivate most of our nation, and maybe the prospect
of a World Cup being held in NZ has temporarily dulled the normal motivators
to business owners to look to sell. Most years when the days start to
get longer we get a rush of business owners start to make contact because
to most spring means change.
The interesting thing this year is
we just can’t seem to get the owners we are talking to motivated to
act and maybe it is as simple as they are more interested in the World
Cup.
Can’t see it improving after the
World Cup either really because then we head into an Election period.
I would assume that most business owners would hope for an election
that keeps the status quo but again the uncertainty again will most
likely mean that owners who would normally be looking to exit for family,
health, age or as simple a reason as boredom will most likely be caught
up in the World Cup and Election year malaise.
On the opposite side of the coin we
all are seeing significant buyer interest. There seems to be a growing
sense of frustration in the buyers I talk to, especially around the
quality of the businesses that are on the market. I suppose difficult
times bring out the worse in any business category and business brokers
are not exempt from this. If there is nothing on the market then less
scrupulous brokers will be tempted to market businesses that they might not
normally and hope that desperate buyers might not be as diligent in
their DD processes.
Had a buyer in our boardroom yesterday
who took a call from another broker who informed him that the owner
and he had been able to update the financials he had been given and
they were emailed through to him. The update was the 3rd
or 4th revision of actual management accounts, all revisions
were supposedly due to honest mistakes but all indicated an owner and
broker trying to justify a price. One of the revisions was required
because the rent for the current year was keyed in to the accounting
system exactly half of the previous year. Another we saw recently had
all staff wages added back because it made the business look unprofitable.
We have happily lost a couple of smaller
opportunities to other brokers over the last couple of weeks and neither
decision was based on fees but more on the price the broker was willing
to go to the market at. In both cases the businesses were barely profitable
and after we had appraised the businesses we explained to the owners
that the sale price would at best be the value of fixed assets and stock.
The businesses in question are now being marketed by our competitors
between 30-50% higher value than we believe is attainable, one with
a profit figure quoted higher that shown on the financials we were provided
with! This is most likely telling the owner what he/she wants to hear
and then if an inexperienced buyer doesn’t turn up,
position the owner hard during the process to get his/her expectations
down to where the market stands.
Experienced finance writer Martin Hawes
has previously identified similar behaviour among real estate agents,
who appraise a house at a high price to get the listing, only to then
set about lowering the vendor’s expectations.
This is certainly not sour grapes on
our part. Both Paul and I would rather go and play golf than waste our
time, and the buyer’s time, marketing something that is significantly
over priced. Just not worth the drama.
This is a risky ploy for the broker
if you want to stay in the game long term. Buyers in the most part don’t
respond to obviously overpriced opportunities.
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